The Federal Liberals' New Year's Eve Nightmare: vote intent sinks to 16%

By Staff

December 30th, 2024

BURLINGTON, ON

46% say PM should resign, prorogue House for leadership race; two-in-five want a Feb. 2025 election

In a year-end report the Angus Reid Institute, a multinational public opinion polling company said “… the federal Liberals, they are on the precipice of a very unhappy New Year.

Justin Trudeau.

“Amid growing calls for their leader to resign, the latest public opinion data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute shows the party’s support among decided and leaning voters down to just 16 per cent.

In the 2011 election under then leader, Michael Ignatieff, the Liberals received 18.9

It represents the lowest level of support for the party in Angus Reid Institute tracking dating back to 2014. It is also quite possibly the lowest vote intention the Liberals have ever received in the modern era. Even in the worst electoral performance in the party’s 157-year history, the 2011 election under then leader, Michael Ignatieff, the Liberals received 18.9 per cent of votes from Canadians, and at minimum 17 per cent in polling leading up to that election.

“Meanwhile, as he mulls his future during his ski in the snow in B.C., approval of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, which had been steady in the low 20s, now plummets to an all-time nadir of 22 per cent.

“These latest blows come at the end of a punishing two weeks wherein Trudeau lost his finance minister and lost the would-be replacement star he’d been chasing. This culminated in an open loss of confidence by a growing number of Liberal MPs who are now publicly calling for him to go.

“While Trudeau has said that he would reflect on the growing rebellion within his own ranks, approaching half (46%) of Canadians and three-in-five (59%) current Liberal supporters say it’s time for him to step aside and call for a party leadership contest. Another two-in-five (38%) Canadians believe Trudeau should call for a general election himself when he returns from his holiday break.

For a detailed look at the polling link to the poll here: www.angusreid.org/

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5 comments to The Federal Liberals’ New Year’s Eve Nightmare: vote intent sinks to 16%

  • David

    I’ve taken some liberties with the lyrics to ‘Should I Stay or Should I Go’ by the Clash.
    But it seems to be an appropriate song to sing for those travelling on the gravy train on the final leg of its journey to the end of the line. “Should he stay or should he go now? Should he stay or should he go now? If he goes there will be trouble, And if he stays it will be double So come on and let me know, Should he stay or should he go?” As a train spotter, I vote for him to stay, I’m big on life lessons.

  • Stephen White

    I don’t understand how any Liberal, looking at these poll numbers, can’t come to the realization that Trudeau needs to go…and now! It is so overwhelmingly apparent that the Liberals are going to be wiped out completely in the next federal election if they don’t ditch their feckless leader. It is a measure of the arrogance of the man, and his contempt for the Canadian public, that he is still hanging on.

    Even more disturbing is the fact the Liberals can’t even effectively mount a credible internal coup to get rid of their lame duck leader. Unlike the Tories their party constitution has no mechanism for getting rid of the leader who has lost support of the caucus. I thought Nathan Erskine-Smith might lead the move to oust Justin but like every good Liberal opportunist it is better to just accept a Cabinet posting than stand up for your principles.

    If the federal Liberals want to see what the future is going to look like it might be worthwhile taking a glance at their provincial counterparts. Two provincial elections later and you could just about fit the Ontario Liberal Party caucus into a minivan. Even poor Bonnie Crombie can’t exorcise the ghost of Kathleen Wynne.

  • Michael Hribljan

    The few MP’s that have a chance of winning their seat back are finally starting to realize that their prospects are diminishing the longer Trudeau and sell out Singh delay the inevitable.

    It’s entertaining to watch the rats abandon ship while a few try to cling on.

    What’s very sad is watching our great country degrade on many fronts as politicians cling to power at a time when real leadership is needed.

  • Don Fletcher

    This Liberal government & their supporters hope, beyond all reason, that the problem is just Justin Trudeau and that a leadership change will revive their re-election odds. It will not. They uniformly pledge themselves to their “higher calling” to protect Canadians from Pierre Poilievre, while really trying to just preserve their jobs . They are deluded. Most Canadians (read the polls) feel that if there is anyone we need to be protected from is Justin Trudeau and our current Liberal+NDP government. Time is up!

  • Graham

    Time for a very quick walk in the Snow.The public have spoken very clearly .Nothing will save the Libs now.