By Pepper Parr
October 20th, 2019
BURLINGTON, ON
OPINION
So who is it going to be?
There are three constituencies representing the people of Burlington.
Milton, which covers parts of wards 3 and 6 – the northern part of the city
Oakville North Burlington which cover part of eastern Burlington and part of Oakville.
Burlington is where the bulk of the people in the city will vote
Maps of all three are set out below.
Where is the vote going to go? Some of the best political minds in the country don’t know; what seems to be pretty certain is that we will have a minority government. The Conservatives believe they will form that government – the Liberals are just as certain.
The NDP and the Greens aren’t going to form a government – but one of them will probably hold the balance of power.
Our take on the candidates:
Sean Weir for the Conservatives in Oakville North Burlington
Karina Gould for Burlington
Lisa Raitt for Milton.
Burlington where the candidates are: Karina Gould, the incumbent; Gareth Williams – Green Party; Lenaee Dupuis – NDP; Peoples Party – Peter Smetana and Jane Michael – Conservative.
The Gazette sees Karina Gould as the best choice – although Gareth Williams has done a superb job for the Greens even if he didn’t put in as much time as he should have campaigning. How and why Jane Michael ever got the Conservative nomination has astounded most of the Conservatives we talked to.
The candidates in Milton are: Lisa Raitt – Conservative; Adam van Koeverden – Liberal; Eleanor Hayward – New Democrat; Farina Hassan – Green Party and Percy Dastur – People Party
In Milton, new comer Adam van Koeverden has a chance – we think Lisa Raitt will hold her seat.
The candidates in Oakville North Burlington are: Sean Weir – Conservative; Gilbert J. Jubinville – Peoples Party; Pam Damoff – Liberal; Nicolas Dion – New Democrat and Michael Houghton – Green Party
In Oakville North Burlington Sean Weir could beat Pam Damoff. She hasn’t been that strong a Parliamentarian.
We will learn just how serious people in the Halton Region are about Climate Change when we see what the vote count for the Green Party is – the surge in the New Democrat vote is yet another sign that in
Salt with Pepper is the musings, reflections and opinions of the publisher of the Burlington Gazette, an online newspaper that was formed in 2010 and is a member of the National Newsmedia Council.
The portion of Burlington that is in the Milton constituency
Oakville North Burlington
Boundaries for voters in Burlington.
If Gould wins and the PM leads a minority government then perhaps he can find her a more significant portfolio than Democratic Representation. That way we can evaluate whether she has the gravitas and skills necessary to handle a more substantive role, or whether she’s merely a cake decoration in a political party that is long on style, but perilously short on talent.
If the Grits were smart they would start looking for a new leader now rather than later. Justin’s credibility is so seriously compromised it’s hard to imagine him ever climbing back to the lofty heights of public esteem he once held. Mark Carney would be a great successor, and unlike most of the current Liberal caucus actually understands something about business and economics.
Oh I very much agree on Mark Carney/Trudeau. One of the most baffling things for me are the choices parties make for their leaders … some of them over and over again.
Rob: J. Michael was NEBER nominated. She was appointed by Ottawa.
And Bev, how many Liberals were appointed to run in this election? We certainly know that Liberal MP, Eva Nassif, was blocked from running in Montreal by the Liberal party, leading to the resignation of the riding association.
Pepper: I concur we will have a minority government, and it will probably be a Liberal minority government, propped up by the loveable, delusional and now tedious Jagmeet Singh. I also predict that, should they implement the $40 billion dollars in promises, we will see insane tax increases and or an increase in the GST that will make the McGuinty/Wynne era look fiscally responsible. The Singh-Trudeau unholy alliance will implode in two years max and then both the Liberal and NDP party’s will get their just desserts. In the meantime, Quebec and at least two western provinces will be beating succession drums. Locally, contributors to the Gazette, who neglected to use the word, ”alleged” when referring to a local candidate may find themselves at the wrong end of a slander lawsuit.
Sunny Ways my friends.
What are “succession drums”?
Hans: It was a typo, and should have read “secession drums”. Hope that clears things up for you.
I agree “How and why Jane Michael ever got the Conservative nomination has astounded most of the Conservatives we talked to”.
You are right ..
KARINA Gould is head and shoulders above the rest of the field in her Burlingtom poll.
Pepper, I reluctantly have to agree with your prognosis for election day. Ultimately for me, this election has been a referendum on Trudeau’s leadership and as the absolutely worst PM of my lifetime, I could not repeat my mistake of 2015. Based on polling numbers–and I hope I am wrong, Gould will win but Burlington and Canada will consequently lose. I have never been more apprehensive about Canada’s future than I am in this election.