 By Tom Parkin
March 18th, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
After the unchecked speculation peak in 2022, a new marketplace stand-off has builders refusing to build while buyers refuse to pay. We’ll see who blinks.
 John Maynard Keynes’ sarcastic quip that “markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent” appears to have a new twist in the Ontario housing market, three years after unchecked speculation led to soaring prices then market implosion.
Buyers are refusing to pay more despite falling borrowing costs, lower prices and slow construction, all factors that could rationally be expected to spur an increase in house prices in a province with a massive pent-up housing demand.
The benchmark house price for the Greater Toronto Area was $20,000 lower last month than February 2024 and remains $239,900 below the price peak of March, 2022, according to data released by the Canadian Real Estate Association released today.
February starts just 33 per cent of Ford PCs’ target
Despite price declines of the past 35 months, the GTA benchmark house price remains $316,900 (42 per cent) higher than when Doug Ford became premier.
But though market prices are significantly higher than just a few years ago, it appears they now aren’t high enough to cause builders to build.
The Canada Housing and Mortgage Corporation also reported data this morning showing just 4,100 housing starts in Ontario during February, a 37 percent tumble from February 2024. February’s starts were only 33 percent of the 12,500 monthly target needed to meet the Ontario government’s own Housing Affordability Task Force recommendation.
Data on building construction investment released by Statistics Canada today shows that while investment in Ontario multi-unit residential construction is now only seven per cent lower than the peak set in October 2023, investment in single dwelling construction has collapsed 41 percent from its peak in September 2022.
Industry blames Trump, but data signals the problem is the price
 Just how much can be blamed on Trump’s tariffs? The real estate industry’s explanation for market inactivity is the uncertainty caused by Trump’s tariffs, as buyers worry about their incomes or wait for falling economic growth to cause deeper interest rate cuts.
Without a doubt that holds some truth over the past month or two. But not the past year or two.
The simple explanation is that Ontarians, absent the panicked and irrational fear of missing out, refuse to pay prices they cannot afford.
Unreasonable rents continue to leave little room for saving. Purchase prices remain very high.
Other data provides more evidence of a consumer problem. Statistics Canada retail data shows, that despite higher sales elsewhere in the country, Ontario retail sales remain lower than in spring 2022. Ontario’s unemployment is higher than the national rate. GDP data shows spending on items like furniture and home renovations are down.
Of course, conceding that prices are still too high is probably not something the real estate industry wants to say out loud. Deflection is preferred.
Ford’s political opponents failed to make the case
And others want to move on, too. The Ford PC government took action to check housing speculation, allowing the GTA benchmark price to increase $556,800 (76 percent) in just 45 months.
 Building trade unions might be upset if they weren’t so busy counting the tens of millions of dollars they have been receiving from the PC government. The price surge and implosion lie squarely on Doug Ford’s head, as does the economic destruction it caused, which goes beyond housing. Real estate implosions always do.
Unfortunately, it’s a story the opposition parties failed to piece together for Ontarians, allowing the lackluster PCs to coast to an undeserved majority with which they will continue to fail on affordability.
The industry’s refusal to build until prices rise is itself probably costing billions in lost economic growth and tens of thousands of construction jobs. Building trade unions might be upset if they weren’t so busy counting the tens of millions of dollars they have been receiving from the PC government.
The Ontario twist on Keynes’ observation seems to be that industry will remain unproductive until demand turns irrational. Then we go round again.
 By Ray Rivers
March 16th, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
 Rene Lévesque, who later created the Parti Quebecois, was the most influential minister in the Lesage Liberal government during Quebec’s ‘Quiet Revolution’ of the early sixties. Rene Lévesque is credited with the phrase ‘Maîtres chez Nous’ – used as a justification for nationalizing American energy companies which had once dominated Quebec’s energy scene. Lévesque, who later created the Parti Quebecois, was the most influential minister in the Lesage Liberal government during Quebec’s ‘Quiet Revolution’ of the early sixties. And his phase is revered by Quebecers.
Mark Carney, Canada’s new PM, has used the phrase on several occasions, presumably to appeal to Quebec voters, but also to signal that under his watch this country will not be subservient to, and be pushed around by our American neighbours. That Carney is making waves among potential voters can be seen by the reaction from the separatist and oxymoronic Bloc Quebecois federal party, worried about inroads into its Quebec base.
President Trump has made it clear that tariffs are coming and here to stay. And that means Canadians need to look for other markets for their exports. And we also need to focus on import substitution as an alternative to buying from the USA. Today, for example, we import over two billion aluminum beer cans made with Canadian exported aluminum.
 President Trump has made it clear that tariffs are coming and here to stay. Trump used to own a casino or two, so one needs to be wary playing cards with him. Premier Ford embarrassed himself, his province and the country when he tried to bluff without an ace up his sleeve. President Trump was holding the high cards and he called Ford’s hand on his 25% energy surcharge for US states.
Trump threatened to double down on the steel and aluminium tariffs and Ford buckled, folded his hand, and left the table with egg on his face. The surcharge was withdrawn and Ford was taught a lesson. Stay in your lane – international trade blackmail is for the big boys.
Ford may get high marks for scrapping Elon Musk’s ‘Starlink’ internet system, once planned for northern Ontario communities. But what about the $26 billion contract he signed for four the US based GE Hitachi BWRX-300 small modular reactors for Darlington? These reactors, once operational will need to be on a steady diet of imported American enriched nuclear fuel.
Meantime, Atomic Energy Canada now AtkinsRéalis, is dying to sell its new CANDU MONARK, an advanced CANDU reactor design which uses Canadian made uranium pellets. CANDU is the current technology that gives us half of our electricity in Ontario. Of course, we’d likely not need these new nuclear power plants if Ford hadn’t shut down the province’s renewable energy programs.
Ford’s slap down by the US president should inspire prudence as this country responds to the American trade war. Any response to US tariffs will be seen as retaliatory, but whatever that response it needs to be about benefitting Canadians and not just punishing the Yanks. That discussion starts with a withdrawal from the already broken USMCA.
 Former Prime Minister Mulroney sold the economic benefits of the free trade agreement (FTA) to Canadians on a song and a prayer. Former Prime Minister Mulroney sold the economic benefits of the free trade agreement (FTA) to Canadians on a song and a prayer. Canada’s GDP per capita, our national productivity rate – our economic standard of living – compared to the USA was 90% back then, just prior to the FTA. Today it has fallen to 65%, and our exchange rate has tumbled to under 70 cents.
Instead of making us better off, forty years of FTA, NAFTA and USMCA have just made us more reliant on the US as a trading partner. And the real beneficiaries are the transnational corporations that can relocate production from one country to another to take advantage of lower labour cost, less red tape, lower taxes, and tariffs. They are the real winners of free trade.
Canadian productivity has bounced up and down a few times since Mulroney but no matter how one looks at the statistics it is hard to make the argument that these free trade deals have been a win-win for Canadians, even in the good times. And these are not the good times as we head into a trade war led by the would be imperialist living in the White House.
Bottom line is that we’d be no worse and possibly better off if we had ignored Mr. Mulroney’s dream of an FTA. Instead, we should have done what the PM is telling us we need to do now – take control of our economy by becoming more self-reliant. But we will never be ‘Maîtres chez Nous’ so long as we are ‘free-trading’ with the elephant next door.
 Ray Rivers, a Gazette Contributing Editor, writes regularly applying his more than 25 years as a federal bureaucrat to his thinking. Rivers was once a candidate for provincial office in Burlington. He was the founder of the Burlington citizen committee on sustainability at a time when climate warming was a hotly debated subject. Ray has a post graduate degree in economics that he earned at the University of Ottawa. Tweet @rayzrivers
Background links:
GDP/Capita – Maîtres chez nous – Bloc Objects –
 By Staff
March 12th, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
60% of Americans say they have no interest in Canada joining, 32% say only if Canada wants to
U.S. President Donald Trump continues to escalate his trade war and annexation rhetoric this week, leaving economists, commentators, and even supporters wondering about his motivations.
 New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds Trump’s repeated threats to make Canada the 51st state out of line with the views and opinions of his own country and voters. Asked about this idea, three-in-five Americans and 44 per cent of Trump voters say they have “no interest” in seeing Canada join the U.S. Further, one-in-three Americans and 42 per cent of Trump voters say they would only be interested if the idea was supported by Canadians.
It isn’t.
For the second time in 2025, Angus Reid Institute finds nine-in-10 Canadians saying they would vote ‘no’ to joining the United States if given the option.
Amid continued threats, more than half of Canadians now think Trump is serious about this (54%). In January, just one-in-three (32%) felt this way. South of the border there has also been in increase in the proportion who feel Trump is serious, but to a smaller extent, rising from 22 to 34 per cent.
One notable domestic dynamic at play is the higher number of current Conservative Party supporters who would vote ‘yes’ on this question, and the implications of the expected federal election. At present, one-in-five would-be CPC voters say they would vote yes, compared to almost zero Liberal (2%), NDP (3%), and Bloc Québécois (1%) voters. Angus Reid Institute asked those Conservative supporters if they would change their vote to join the U.S. in the event of a Liberal majority in the next federal election and found a 12-point increase in yes voters, up to 33 per cent.
By Ray Rivers
March 10th, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
My opponent, Pierre Poilievre, is a lifelong politician who worships at the altar of the free market, despite never having earned a paycheque or made a payroll. His reflex is always to cut and destroy. (Mark Carney)
It was an impressive victory for Canada’s new PM designate on Sunday. All four candidates were clearly qualified for the job but Liberals voted overwhelmingly (86%) for Carney. After all, these are troubled times. Canadians are feeling threatened and insecure because of the economic and political assault from south of the border.
In a crisis, the public generally prefers electoral stability and the status quo. And that tends to work for incumbents. It’s why Doug Ford, who has a miserable record in managing the province but cast himself as captain Canada, won his election so convincingly. And he has not disappointed in his defence of the province and country.
 Churchill became British PM as WWII was underway and Roosevelt was elected for an unprecedented third term when it became clear that the US was about to enter the war. What Canada needs now is competence and experience, not a political attack dog, as it navigates the path we’ve been forced onto. Globalization is dead, and so is USMCA/NAFTA. Canada needs to rebuild our national economy and that will require public as well as private investment as we strive to once again make and buy Canadian.
 Brian Mulroney Blame Brian Mulroney for selling out our industries in the hope that some kind of free trade deal with the US would make us better off. But that deal was made some forty years ago and most Canadians believe it had been working – until now. But that experiment in the economic theory of comparative advantage hollowed out our manufacturing sector, leaving us little choice but to become as reliant on trade in raw materials as were our forefathers – hewers of wood, and drawers of oil.
Surrendering our once robust manufacturing sector has made us vulnerable to the vagaries of international markets, as we saw with the supply issues and the ensuing inflation during the pandemic. The US and Europe have also realized this, perhaps one of the reasons all EU members have still not ratified the Canada/EU trade agreement.
And now Trump is completely overturning the gaming table and tearing up USMCA, all the while whistling America first. But this is not a game. Trump is determined to end non-tariff access to US markets, in the interest of returning manufacturing jobs to America and using tariff revenue to finance his promised income tax cuts.
The US president is not likely to change course now and has already warned the US public to expect inflation and a recession as they experience this transition. And Canada’s transition threatens to be even worse without proper guidance. Then there is all the other nonsense pouring out of the Donald’s mouth – the hostility and the expansionist threats that is unnerving Canadians and all of America’s one time friends and allies.
 It was a happy night for everyone – will we see a repeat in the next 60 to 90 days? So over 150,000 Liberals cast their votes for a new leader in response to the public’s demand for a change from Mr. Trudeau. And they put their fate in the hands of someone with impeccable credentials and very credible skills at a time when this country needs exactly that kind of leadership. As Carney said in his victory speech, Canada needs a strategic plan to deal with the inevitable fallout from the end of free trade, not political slogans.
Trudeau gave one of his best speeches as he stepped down. He was positive, gracious and passionate and sat emotionless as he watched the new leader designate promise to end Trudeau’s signature carbon tax. Still, Trudeau’s best moments came in his two recent addresses to Canadians outlining Canada’s immediate responses to Trump’s 25% tariffs. I have never been prouder to be a Canadian as I watched our prime minister stand up for Canada in no uncertain terms.
Canadians will likely be in an election in a matter of weeks. Some will complain about having an election in the midst of a crisis. But we survived a federal election in the midst of the pandemic and the recent Ontario election was held in one of the coldest and snowy winters in recent memory. And given the political temperature on Parliament Hill, we should expect the federal election closer to April than its October due date.
 Kim Campbell  John Turner Kim Campbell and John Turner provide a case study of the perils for a governing party changing horses at the last minute before a horse race. Hopefully Carney will learn from their mistakes. Canadians demanded turning the page on its PM and his priorities for the country – and the Liberal Party has responded.
Ray Rivers, a Gazette Contributing Editor, writes regularly applying his more than 25 years as a federal bureaucrat to his thinking. Rivers was once a candidate for provincial office in Burlington. He was the founder of the Burlington citizen committee on sustainability at a time when climate warming was a hotly debated subject. Ray has a post graduate degree in economics that he earned at the University of Ottawa. Tweet @rayzrivers
Background links:
Tariff War – Trudeau on Tariffs
 By Staff
March 10th, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
Doug Ford made the comment and opinion section of the Washington Post: Ontario’s Doug Ford is channeling a national backlash to the White House.
Noah Richler, writing in the comment and opinion section of the Post said:
Donald Trump knows the value of a good external enemy to unite his nationalist base, and — for reasons that might baffle even some of his staunchest supporters — Canada has taken on the role. With Parliament in abeyance following Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s resignation, and with the country’s reputation for civility, Trump probably thought Canada would be an easy target to bully. What the U.S. president didn’t count on, however, is the nationalism he would prompt in Canadian politicians more than happy to use his playbook against him.
 Doug Ford, the right-populist Ontario premier who has captured the prevailing mood with an uncompromising resistance of his own. Enter Doug Ford, the right-populist Ontario premier who has captured the prevailing mood with an uncompromising resistance of his own, with steps ranging from pulling American-made liquor off shelves to threatening the United States’ power supply. “If they start hurting families anywhere in Canada, especially Ontario, well, the lights are going off,” warned Ford, who come Monday will be imposing a 25 percent surcharge on electricity exported from Ontario to some 1.5 million homes in Michigan, Minnesota and New York state. He’s been unrelenting even after Trump delayed many tariffs, demanding they go to “zero.”
From the very first moment of Trump’s Canadian excesses — the ridiculing of the prime minister as “Governor Trudeau,” the talk of Canada as a “51st state,” a covetous eye cast toward our wealth of minerals and water, threats to abrogate border agreements, and ultimately the yo-yo game of tariffs — Ontario’s resolute premier has been proactive about retaliating and the need for the country to act as one.
“Ford Nation,” the less-incensed predecessor of the MAGA movement that brought the premier to power for the first time in 2018, has lost the moniker but is now a much larger force. Even in my own household — I ran (unsuccessfully) for federal office back in 2015 for the left-wing New Democratic Party — we find ourselves buoyed and validated in this utterly discombobulating fight by Ford’s steadfast resolve, this very Canadian quality the great Nova Scotia poet Alden Nowlan once described as “stubborn disinclination.”
 Canada beats the American team. Hockey is a metaphor for just about anything in Canada, and Ford is our enforcer, the tough guy who’s not the best skater, who’s not on the ice to score, but is ready for a scrap and to protect those who can. You want him on your side, this guy in the corner with his elbows up. He might throw an errant punch now and then, but a good enforcer makes his presence felt, and Ford has done that. To wit: Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick personally urged him to back down in a phone call and failed — another point scored.
Noah Richler is a Canadian author based in Toronto.
By Tom Parkin
March 6th, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
More than a third of Conservatives don’t want Canada to retaliate against Trump’s tariff attack.
Donald Trump today launched an economic war on Canadians and has pledged to annex Canada as the 51st state, but a third of Conservatives think Donald Trump is pretty darn swell, according to an Angus Reid Institute poll released this morning.
Continue reading Despite attacks and threats, a third of Conservative voters favour Donald Trump
By Ray Rivers
February 21st, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
The clock is ticking for Liberals to vote in a ranked ballot online starting February 28th to select Canada’s next PM. Among the finalists will be the two current members of Parliament, Chrystia Freeland and Karina Gould. Both of these candidates, as former Finance Minister and former Government House Leader respectively, can share some of the credit and/or accept blame for the governing Liberal record going back to 2015.
Freeland’s platform now disowns some of that record though she had served as Trudeau’s number two. She would axe the carbon tax and cancel the increase in capital gains taxation. Freeland also proposes imposing a 100% tariff on Tesla electric cars and bribing Canadian doctors and nurses to return here to work. Burlington’s Gould is promising to cut the GST to 4% for one year, enhance employment insurance and initiate a guaranteed income program.
Former MP Ruby Dhalla was disqualified as a candidate for the leadership of the party on a unanimous vote by the leadership and expense committees to drop her from the contest.
Dhalla served with Paul Martin and pivots to the ‘right’ of the party, proposing to deport ‘illegal immigrants’ and slamming drug users with life sentences. Baylis, a Montreal businessman, would limit senators and MP’s to 10 years in office. And among other ideas he’s also keen on recognizing a Palestinian state.
 Mark Carney speaking to Liberals in Hamilton. But the heavy betting is on former Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney. Carney played a key role in navigating Canada through the 2008 global economic downturn and as Bank of England Governor helped that nation through its Brexit transition. He held a UN post as climate envoy and had previously served as special advisor to Mr. Trudeau. However, Carney sees himself as an outsider, never having held a parliamentary seat. But he has brought a breath of fresh air to the Party, which as the polls tell us was in critical need of a re-set.
Carney has racked up the greatest number of Liberal Cabinet endorsements to date. Recent polls indicate that as leader he could bring the Liberals back from a double digit lag to a dead heat with Mr. Poilievre’s opposition Tories. That is something that has brought fear and panic into the Conservative camp which had been ever so keen to capitalize on Trudeau’s plummeting popularity. And that means Carney needs to watch out for dirty tricks. In that vein social media trolls falsely posted that Carney’s recent meet and greet of Liberals in Vancouver was AI doctored to create the illusion that the crowd was bigger.
Carney is an economist but he knows the campaign of disinformation and lies about carbon pricing has poisoned that economic instrument, so it is destined for the history books. He plans to introduce a middle income tax cut to compensate for loss of the carbon tax rebate, however. Carney plans to run a balanced budget regarding government spending though he has not ruled out borrowing for infrastructure projects which would benefit future generations.
Mostly Mr. Carney needs to attribute the climate of economic uncertainty Canadians are now facing for much of his growing popularity. US president Trump’s economic war on Canada starting with tariffs on some of our most important exports has this country on the defence. And Canadians would prefer to see an experienced professional at the helm rather than someone like Mr. Poilievre, who has almost never held a real job outside of working for the Conservative Party.
 Rivers, upper right (where the red dot is) covering Mark Carney during a speech he gave in Hamilton earlier this week. I was invited to one of Mr. Carney’s meet and greet meetings in Hamilton recently. He addressed the crowd in a soft spoken, sincere tone, without bashing his opponents. I found that a refreshing change from the dynamics of what we’ve seen too often in Ottawa politics. Let’s hope it continues.
Ray Rivers, a Gazette Contributing Editor, writes regularly applying his more than 25 years as a federal bureaucrat to his thinking. Rivers was once a candidate for provincial office in Burlington. He was the founder of the Burlington citizen committee on sustainability at a time when climate warming was a hotly debated subject. Ray has a post graduate degree in economics that he earned at the University of Ottawa. Tweet @rayzrivers
Background links:
Liberal Leadership – Carney – Karina Gould – Dhalla –
By Tom Parkin
February 21st, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
Once a magnet attracting job-seekers from across Canada, Ontario’s economy continues to sputter even as premier Doug Ford proclaims himself the “jobs protector” in the province’s current election campaign.
Ontario’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate ticked up 0.1 percentage point in January, accord to Statistics Canada’s Labour Force Survey, hitting 7.6 per cent. Newfoundland and Labrador was the only province to have a higher unemployment rate and the only other province where the jobless rate rose in January.
The national unemployment rate fell 0.1 points to 6.6 percent, seasonally adjusted.
Except for one month in 2023, Ontario’s seasonally adjusted jobless rate has not been better than the national rate since April 2020, 58 months ago.
Employment in construction remains below levels of summer 2023 held back by a housing industry recession the took hold after unchecked speculative run-up created a market explosion in spring 2022.
To reach housing goals, Ontario has set a housing starts target at a pace of 12,500 unit starts per month, which has never met. December housing starts were only 44 per cent of target.
Despite poor construction sector jobs performance, several construction unions have endorsed Doug Ford for re-election, many of which have received significant amounts of public money.
About 40,000 jobs in retail sales have disappeared since the Christmas sales season of 2021 before an affordability crisis became to set up.
Housing asking rents and sales prices peaked in 2022, leaving less income available for retail purchasing.
Though retail sales are at new peaks in the rest of Canada, Ontario retail sales remain below levels of spring 2022.
Jobs in manufacturing are also below a recent peak as the auto industry, which anchors many other manufacturing businesses, faces new impacts from the 2018 CUSMA renegotiation and the on-going threats from U.S. President Donald Trump.
A counter-strategy funded with up to $52.5 billion in federal and provincial money aimed has leveraged $46.1 billion in private investment to refound the sector around electric vehicle production. But the effectiveness of these investments in now in doubt due to cancellation of EV purchase incentives by the new U.S. Administration.
A stark symbol of the jobs challenge made headlines as Linmar, a Guelph, Ontario-based auto parts company, listed for sale a newly-constructed EV parts plant in Welland before it had built a single part.
By Staff
February 17th, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
 Rosie DiManno, TorontoStar columnist decides to call out King Charles III Rosie DiManno, a Toronto Star columnist covering sports and current affairs for the Star has never been one to mince her words.
In a column published online this morning Rosie let it all out – both barells – asking where is the King when he could be useful?
A king outranks a potentate or a mountebank shilling from his Oval Office soapbox.
And we’ve got one of those — a king, I mean.
 King Charles III So where is King Charles III when Canada needs him? Not a peep out of His Majesty since U.S. President Donald Trump has been blathering and bloviating about this country becoming the 51st American state, repeated ad nauseam, any time he can wedge in a dig. Stony silence as well from the useless Governor General. For that matter, where are the 55 other nations in the Commonwealth that was so vitally important to the late Queen? They haven’t said boo in defence of their beleaguered fraternal member. Or … hello, Europe?
In a constitutional monarchy, the king can’t proclaim “off with his head,” nor ruffle any governance feathers. But savvy Queen Elizabeth II knew how to thread that needle, making her position known in times of crisis. For instance she used her influence among Commonwealth leaders to suspend Zimbabwe over its human rights abuses. (President Robert Mugabe, a dyed-in-the-wool Anglophile despite the legacy of colonialism in what was Rhodesia, went into such a fury — his knighthood also stripped — that he later withdrew Zimbabwe from the organization.)
A coronet-ed head does have subtle power. But Canada might as well be on the other side of the moon, rather than merely the other side of the Atlantic, for all the support for sovereign dominion that Charles has expressed these past few weeks. Links between Charles and Canada have been historically strong — he’s made 19 visits, though all as Prince of Wales, last in these parts in 2022. As the Queen spread out her children and grandchildren as nominal figureheads of the Crown across the Commonwealth, establishing particularly close ties, we got Prince Andrew, who attended school here.
Trump, who has long been in awe of the Royal Family, was especially enthralled by the Queen. Awe for royals but now OW for Canada as the disrupter-in-chief has deep-sixed turned diplomacy, with a slew of whinges about America’s northern neighbour and greatest trading partner. He might not wear a bejewelled headpiece — oh how he wishes — but he’s certainly been wielding his Sharpie like a sword in a frenzy of executive orders.
Charles may not want to be seen as mucking into a partisan spat between Canada and the U.S. But, he’s never had difficulty getting his sentiments across via leaks to the media by assorted confidantes and acolytes. That’s how he effectively demonized Diana as the cuckoo Princess of Wales during the mutually hostile years that threatened the future of the monarchy. And if he doesn’t want to step into this political whirlwind, then send Prince William. Remind Trump that we are part of a much bigger historical empire, millennia old. The USA is, relatively, a pipsqueak and Pax Americana is already in decline. We even once burned down their damn White House. Well, the British did in 1814 during the War of 1812.
Of course, royals need to receive an invitation to step foot in Canada — not including Prince Harry, who went off the protocol grid when he and Meghan landed for a few months in a Vancouver Island mansion after the turncoat Sussexes bolted as “working royals,” before packing up for California. No such invite has been extended. Doubtless “Governor Trudeau,” as Trump disses the prime minister, has more urgent matters on his mind — contending with the unhinged president and staring into the abyss of his protracted resignation with a Liberal leadership race in full throttle. But seriously, in a time of existential upheaval, he really should draft in all the help he can get.
 President Donald Trump signing yet another Executive Order The Beltway Bully obviously delights in provoking Canada, tossing around insults whilst reinventing the presidential wheel. Everyone knows, though, that there’s only one way to deal with a bully and that’s to sock him back twice as hard. While at first, when the coveting-Canada postulation was viewed as just a lame joke, it was easy to let the jibe slide. “Never going to happen,’’ said Trudeau last month of the U.S. annexing Canada. Just Trump being Trump, laying the foundation for future negotiations, arm-twisting an ally like no other over tariffs disastrous for both countries, triggering a trade war and force-marching Ottawa into stiffening its borders against illegal migrants and fentanyl.
Except Trump wasn’t just blowing smoke. He did unilaterally rename the Gulf of Mexico, he did wrangle concessions out of Panama over the canal, he did turn his rapacious eye for territorial expansion toward Greenland. At least Denmark countered by threatening to impose a 500 per cent tariff on Ozempic and Wegovy, the weight loss drugs trademarked by a Danish pharmaceutical company. And Trump did — still does apparently — intend to plant the U.S. flag in Gaza, exiling some 2 million Palestinians.
So no, not laughing at Trump’s witless cheek anymore. Just last week, Trudeau told an economic summit in Toronto that he believes Trump’s fixation on Canada is “a real thing” and that the president hankers for this country’s abundance of critical minerals. Trudeau may have once taken Patrick Brazeau to the mat in a charity boxing match but his jabs at Trump have scarcely amounted to rabbit punches. It’s been embarrassing from many angles, even as Trump’s craven hunger for us has galvanized a nation so often at regional knives drawn.
It was actually former Prime Minister Stephen Harper who came out swinging. At the recent launch of his new book, Harper told a private audience: If I was still prime minister, I would be prepared to impoverish the country and not be annexed, if that was the option we’re facing. Now, because I do think if Trump were determined, he could really do wide structural and economic damage, but I wouldn’t accept that. I would accept any level of damage to preserve the independence of the country.’’
Put some more lead in your pencil, Justin, and go out with a bang-bang.
And Your Highness? The real one, not the pretender Prince Trudeau — get your royal purple arse over here.
 By Pepper Parr
February 16th, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
Ron Dennis, an ink stained wretch, who has edited a lot of copy in his years as a respected journalist.
He now lives in Ottawa, originally home town for him; posted his response to remarks Leader of the Opposition Pierre Poilievre made during a speech in Ottawa.
Dennis was moved to publish the following on his Facebook page.
By Staff
February 15th, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
Donald Trump’s chaotic presidency and trade war with Canada are triggering a policy shift not seen in decades – one that will spill over into the public service, which many fear isn’t equipped to handle it without major reform.
Trump’s trade shocks have dampened Quebec sovereignty, ignited a wave of national unity and now business and political leaders are racing to recalibrate Canada’s relationship with an increasingly combative and isolationist Trump administration.
 Joseph Jacques Jean Chrétien PC OM CC KC AdE, is a Canadian politician, statesman, and lawyer who served as the 20th prime minister of Canada from 1993 to 2003. This push for a more autonomous and resilient Canada could reshape the way government is organized and managed on a scale not seen since the Chrétien government’s 1995 Program Review, driven by a fiscal crisis so severe the Wall Street Journal called Canada the “banana republic of the north.”
The government cut more than 50,000 jobs in that overhaul. Back then, Canada was embracing free trade, globalization, and deepening U.S. ties. Now, as Trump upends that order, Canada is being forced to adapt once again.
At the same time, Trump’s ruthless reduction of the U.S. bureaucracy has Canadian public servants on edge, but experts say his scorched-earth tactics won’t play out in Canada.
“(Trump’s) going to undo a lot of things the public sector has been doing for years, and I don’t think Canada can ignore it,” says Donald Savoie, a leading public administration academic, who has long called for public-service reform. “I don’t think there’s an appetite to go as far as Trump, but we’ll have to move in that direction.”
American politics have always influenced Canada, says Alasdair Roberts, a professor at the University of the University of Massachusetts Amherst’s School of Public Policy. What Trump and Elon Musk are doing will create an “echo effect,” especially if the Conservatives take power, but with a more “modulated approach.”
 More in depth detail on the federal civil service can be found at https://www.canada.ca/en/treasury-board-secretariat/services/innovation/human-resources-statistics/demographic-snapshot-federal-public-service-2018.html The crisis has become a catalyst to tackle Canada’s productivity, infrastructure, and pipeline problems. But aside from a handful of academics, no one is asking whether the “creaky, bloated public service”— built for another era — has the capacity to handle the shift, says former clerk of the Privy Council Michael Wernick.
“You can’t be resilient, agile, and effective in the 2020s with a public service built for the 2000s,” says Wernick, the Jarislowsky chair of public administration at the University of Ottawa.
So far, the only focus is on cutting the size of the public service. No one is talking about reforming it.
Beware the early trophies
Wernick doesn’t expect Canada will experience “Musk mayhem” or Argentina’s President Javier Milei’s chainsaw approach to cutting red tape and bureaucracy.
But the next prime minister will “be looking for early trophies.” That will likely mean across-the-board spending cuts and attrition, two of the most common tools governments use to cut spending. It’s the “most foolish and short-sighted way,” he says.
Wernick is in the growing camp calling for a strategic review, as in 1995, so the government can take stock of what government should be doing, what actually works, and stop what doesn’t. It takes political courage to make choices, he says.
That review would help government decide whether it needs to reorganize, merge, close or create departments better suited to today’s world.
 The Institute for Research on Public Policy (IRPP) was formed in 1972. It is one of the most trusted and influential think tanks in Canada. They seek to improve public policy in Canada by generating research, providing insight and influencing debate on current and emerging policy issues facing Canadians and their governments.
By Staff
January 30th, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
Perry Bowker loves that Canada is a Constitutional Monarchy and he wants the country to give King Charles III, the respect he deserves.
In a note he sent the federal government, he asked:
 Overweight dork.  Scrambled eggs all over his chest Dear Canada Ministry of Culture/Canadian Identity/Monarchy and the Crown:
Could we please have a proper official portrait of the King?
The current “official” portrait makes him look like an overweight dork! This official one in the UK is not bad. But all the scrambled eggs regalia is so 19th Century. We are a modern, diverse country!
 King Charles III – a relatable human being.  King Charles III – Head of the Commonwealth I prefer one that makes him look like a relatable human being, Head of the Commonwealth.
Please save our country from further embarrassment and change the official portrait.
Perry Bowker is an active member of the Lions service group; he lives in Burlington.
 By Pepper Parr
January 29th, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
OPINION
The last chapter of the most recent journey Burlington’s Natalie Pierre has taken has started.
 Natalie Pierre speaking in the Legislature Doug Ford got Lt.-Gov. Edith Dumont to issue a writ of election. The Legislature came to a close at 4:00 pm Tuesday afternoon and the election began.
Should Natalie Pierre be re-elected she will begin a second term as an MPP – a job she didn’t want and didn’t do all that well at during the several years she has represented the city at Queen’s Park.
Continue reading Natalie Pierre: ‘With some personal luck she will lose the election and be freed to become the person she is’
By Ray Rivers
January 28th, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
OPINION
Why is Doug Ford forcing Ontario into an unnecessary early election? We can understand that he fears the release of the RCMP investigation into misconduct over the Greenbelt fiasco. Withdrawing publicly protected lands from the Greenbelt in order for developer friends to enrich themselves has got to be some kind of corruption by anyone’s definition.
 Can you read the body language? Ford is in the best position to know whether he actually committed a crime. But calling this unnecessary election is a pretty good sign that he is worried. One could imagine that campaigning for re-election next year would be harder in the unlikely event that some judge actually put him behind bars.
Continue reading Rivers: Could Doug Ford be campaigning from Behind Bars? Not this time
By Ray Rivers
January 26th, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
Instead of panicking about Trump’s promised 25% tariff wall which he is building on his northern and southern borders, we should embrace it. We should congratulate Mr. Trump on what he is doing rather than threaten him. We should join him in implementing similar measures here.
Trump wants to reduce income taxes in his country but still needs the revenue. So his idea is to take America back to the day before income taxation constituted the bulk of government revenue. And import tariffs are the instrument he has chosen. Trump may well be signalling history. After all the British refusal to allow the 13 colonies to impose tariffs to protect their emerging local industries was one of the causes of the Revolutionary War.
President Trump said he would levy 25% tariffs on Day 1 of his presidency. Moved that date back to February 1st. Progressive income taxes are the most equitable of revenue-raising options for an economy. But the wealthy have always resented paying more than what they consider their fair share. So, many Western nations during the right-wing revitalization of the 1980’s, including the UK, New Zealand, and Canada, were able to lower or restrain income taxation by introducing a general sales tax, the value added (VAT), or in Canada, the GST. But Americans have always rejected a national sales tax, and instead have relied on debt financing as an alternative to deal with budgetary shortfalls.
Continue reading Rivers: ‘It’s not a trade war – It’s an opportunity’
By Staff
January 23rd, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
 We are told that the Mayor’s Office is telling people that the BRAG numbers are wrong.
This information came to us from a reliable source, but it was secondhand. Tracking what comes out of the Office of the Mayor is difficult when there is next to nothing in terms of their communicating with the Gazette.
A taxpayer did his version of what the taxes were over a number of years as well as calculating the cumulative tax rate.
Here is what a resident sent us.
The numbers displayed in this article are basically the same as those BRAG produced.
Taxes are a fact of life. They tend to go up – they can be reduced but in reality, not that much.
The challenge for Burlington has two parts: A city hall that will be honest and direct with the taxpayers; and taxpayers that accept what the city is up against.
Burlington has been told that it must grow its population. More people means more in the way of services and those services cost money. Both sides need to grow up and accept the realities.
The hard part is dealing with a pay rate within city hall that is much higher than that paid in the private sector. That is where the problem is and coming to terms with that is close to an impossible task. Civil servants at the municipal level are paid much more than that paid in the private sector. Add to that benefits that are just plain very good.
It would take decades to bring about a change and it would probably have to be done at the provincial level.
The upside? Encourage your children to find work at the municipal level.
Salt with Pepper is an opinion column reflecting the observations and musings of the publisher of the Gazette, an on-line newspaper that is in its 12th year as a news source in Burlington and is a member of the National Newsmedia Council.
 By Harold Dickert
January 18th, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
No one is talking about “Garbage into oil” technology. Not even the Canadian Liberal Party, who added major funding to the world’s largest facility now under construction just outside of Montreal – built by Enerkem (https://enerkem.com/).
 From 360 000 tonnes of waste To 285 000 000 liters of clean fuels
Continue reading We can turn garbage into fuel – so why aren’t we doing that
By Pepper Parr
January 16th, 2025
BURLINGTON, ON
Mapping out the year we are now into. What can the citizens of the City expect during 2025?
Chaos? Prosperity?
2025 is the year before the current Council has to seek re-election. The 2026 budget will be a lot different than what we saw in 2025. Both staff and Council are fully aware of BRAG and the impact they had on the 2025.
 Eric Stern, spokes person for BRAG with a copy of the Proposed 2025 budget. What were those impacts? There will be a budget book much earlier in the year and the words “budget impact” may be forgotten.
The Bateman Community Centre is expected to open in 2025 – nothing is ever certain with this site – when it does open expect a significant change in how the City and Brock University make use of the site.
Continue reading What can the citizens of the City expect during 2025? Chaos? Prosperity?
 By Ray Rivers
December13th, 2024
BURLINGTON, ON
OPINION
“In 2022, Indigenous individuals made up 17% of firearm-related homicide victims in Canada, with higher rates for rifles and shotguns (40%) compared to handguns (7.6%). This percentage is over three times their representation in the general population (5%).
Additionally, women represent close to 9 in 10 victims of firearm-related violent crimes committed by an intimate partner. At the same time, men aged 18 to 24 are most likely to be victims of firearm-related violent crimes.
Measures to reduce access to firearms are expected to have a higher impact in rural areas, and western provinces, which experience firearm-related crimes at a higher rate compared to the rest of Canada.” (The Canada Gazette)
The federal government has finally introduced regulations prohibiting assault weapons – essentially automatic and semi-automatic firearms. These weapons are designed for war – only for killing people en mass. They have no other purpose. And no respectable hunter would lower themselves to using an automatic weapon to bring down their prey. Among other things these weapons were not designed for accuracy, but rather to kill the enemy with a barrage of bullet projectiles.
In 2020 the manufacture and importation of over 1500 assault rifles was banned but that didn’t apply to those weapons already in circulation in Canada. So that is now the subject of the new regulations prohibiting the use or transport of over 2000 models and variants.
 Guns that have been deactivated. Current owners have been given an amnesty period, until October 2025, to come into compliance. Owners, including gun shop operators may send these weapons back or export them out of the country. They could surrender them to the government for fair compensation, or have them deactivated at a government-approved gun shop at government expense.
During the amnesty these weapons are not to be fired, the lone exception being indigenous and others who can demonstrate that they hunt for sustenance. They may still continue to use the weapons for that purpose until October 2025. The federal government has been in consultation with Ukrainian officials about forwarding surrendered weapons, to assist them in the defence of their country against the Russian invasion.
The government is treading very carefully in this initiative after a false start on gun control last year and, of course, the long gun registry which became a politicized hot potato for the Chretien Liberals. Although police forces everywhere applauded that registry, it’s tough minded implementation, including a hefty registration fee and potential prison sentences for those out of compliance, turned the registry into just another east-west political football.
 Typical rife found in thousands of barns across the country. Police noted that the registry was extremely helpful when approaching a domestic dispute since long guns were a primary vehicle for domestic homicide. The Quebec government tried to retain the data collected in that province, even after Mr. Harper had shut down the registry. But Harper won the right in court to destroy all the information that had been collected.
We can expect the western red-necks to once again yell and scream that this is just another ideological move by a ‘woke’ government. They will complain that such a regulation violates their freedom and human rights. Indigenous hunters will complain that they will need to trade up/down for single shot magazine rifles. And gun shop owners will once again bellyache that they’ve been caught off guard by another draconian action of an anti-hunting government.
Mr. Poilievre has unsurprisingly jumped into the fray promising to reverse this as well as everything else the Liberals have done. The NDP, with much of their support in the western provinces, are between a rock and hard place. They know this is the right step for public safety in a civilized modern nation, but their western base is dead opposed to any more gun control.
 Mikhail Kalashnikov and the gun he invented. Perhaps it all comes down to what kind of society we want and what we expect of government. Should we allow military grade weapons in the public domain? Are we prepared to tolerate the kinds of consequences we see in the US where assault firearms are everywhere and mass shootings the order of the day? Or is public safety more important than someone’s trophy M16 or AK47. Also known as the Kalashnikov, the 47 today ranks as the deadliest, most prevalent and most game-changing individually wielded weapon in the history of military armament.
 Ray Rivers, a Gazette Contributing Editor, writes regularly applying his more than 25 years as a federal bureaucrat to his thinking. Rivers was once a candidate for provincial office in Burlington. He was the founder of the Burlington citizen committee on sustainability at a time when climate warming was a hotly debated subject. Ray has a post graduate degree in economics that he earned at the University of Ottawa. Tweet @rayzrivers
Background links:
Regulations
By Ray Rivers
November 25th, 2024
BURLINGTON, ON
OPINION
The annual Climate Change Congress of the Parties (COP 29) held this year in Azerbaijan has concluded in uncertainty, discontent and pessimism. Pessimism is what every single one of those delegates should be feeling about the future of the planet we are leaving for our offspring. The global community has completely failed to halt the advance of global climate warming and with it the ravages of climate change.
 Climate Change Congress of the Parties (COP 29) It’s the fossil fuels and, like an addict on heroin, we are unable to put down the syringe. And the rush from this drug, fossil fuels, will continue for almost a millennium. The worlds largest producer of oil, the USA, emits just over 10% of global annual GHG emissions but accounts historically for the majority of all that stuff still up there. That unfortunate record is due to be broken one day soon by the world’s second largest economy and its most significant polluter.
 China is still using coal China, currently at 30% of global GHG annual emissions, is still building coal burning plants. In fact it had initiated 95% of all global coal plant construction in 2023. Ironically, it is also the leader in renewable technologies and electric vehicles. The country is claiming it’ll be carbon neutral by 2060. But only a blind optimist would buy that given its GHG emissions increased almost 5% last year, 15% faster than the rest of the world.
There is discontent among the smaller nations, including those island states which will eventually disappear into the ever rising oceans. Many of these less developed countries (LDC) are relatively small contributors to global emissions, certainly compared to China the US and Europe. But they are at the table, though it seems more like a trough. If money is for the taking, they want in – the only reason they used all those carbon credits getting there.
The COP process used to be about reducing emission reductions with a little cash on the side to help those LDCs in need. But it has morphed into an income redistribution exercise and a money grab. $100 billion was promised in 2009 and this year the ante was upped to $300 billion. Still the ask was for two or three trillion big ones. Delegates from less developed nations are calling it a paltry sum, but nobody is leaving money on the table. And how does India, with the fifth largest global economy and fourth largest military have the nerve to claim access to that COP money?
 COP has lost its way. The 1990’s Kyoto protocol was the best chance to get global cooperation and action on reductions. COP has lost its way. The 1990’s Kyoto protocol was the best chance to get global cooperation and action on reductions. But then GW Bush, the oil president, pulled the rug out and it was drill baby drill. Obama helped create the voluntary Paris Agreement in a faint hope to limit the earth’s temperature increase to below 1.5 degrees. But then the 2016 Donald took his baseball and went home. Though he is coming back and now threatening to take the ball diamond as well.
In any case it is probably too late for incremental emissions reductions, emission targets and all that bureaucratic stuff. Many have already decided we’re at the 10th stage of grief – acceptance. The oil companies may have lost the battle to discredit climate scientists since their predictions are ringing in close to home. But big oil appears to have won the war anyway. That 1.5 degree tipping point is now within sight – possibly as early as next year. And so the Paris Agreement will also have failed.
 The demographic that is going to have to live with the results of COP29 So the discussion at these annual mega-groupies has turned to something else – welfare for those less developed nations in their struggle to adapt. COP is not really about emissions reductions for LDCs since if they can afford fossil energy they can easily afford the less costly renewable energy option. And these less developed nations typically are not the heavy polluters anyway. Even Canada, which has the tenth largest global economy and is the fourth largest oil producer, still only contributes less than 2% to the problem.
Russia has decided to ignore the world and fall back to it’s nasty environmentally dirty old imperial ways. The holy land has become one big carbon emitting battlefield. And China, already the world’s dirtiest polluter will continue to pollute, as we in North America continue to buy their manufactured goods, thus making ourselves complicit. The USA will once again face a neoconservative ideological agenda promising “drill baby drill” and an end to new renewables. Canada is almost certainly to follow if the opinion polls are right – Ontario already has.
 Humble beggar 40% of India’s installed electrical power capacity came from non-fossil fuel sources in 2021. It already has among the lowest emissions per capita in the world. And perhaps that alone, reducing its carbon footprint when wealthier nations are floundering, is a good enough reason to reward India by letting it dine at the beggar’s banquet. And, no humble beggar, the Indian delegation was one of the loudest voices demanding more money at this COP.
It was symbolic that the last two annual COP meetings were hosted by nations heavily dependant on oil revenues for their GDP. This year the host was the autocratic and highly repressive former Soviet republic of Azerbaijan which obtains 90% of its foreign income from the black gold. That country’s president kicked off the COP by setting the tone. He lectured that oil was a gift from God.
The head of France’s delegation went home after the Azerbaijani president insulted France and Holland over their colonial policies. The Argentine president brought his entire delegation home after only three days, probably as a symbol to please his new pal the American president-elect. It was chaos and there were also reports of others leaving in droves like rats abandoning a sinking ship. And no one should wonder why.
Background links:
Climate Not Improving – Greenwash Conference –
UNFCCC – Poilievre and Paris –
Time to Rethink COP –
Stages of Grief –
Ray Rivers has worked on the climate change challenge since 1992. In addition to private consulting and heading the international emissions trading company Clean Air Canada, Rivers also assisted the federal and provincial governments in developing emissions trading and reduction programs. He attended COP 4 in Buenos Aires and COP 9 in Milan.
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